Last updated: February 5, 2021

Office: 303 Hanes Building, Department of Statistics and Operations Research,
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3260.

Email: rls@email.unc.edu

Citizen of United Kingdom. Permanent Resident of the U.S.A.
Married with two sons.

**CAREER HISTORY**

Mark L. Reed III Distinguished Professor of Statistics,
University of North Carolina,
Chapel Hill, since July 2004.

Director of the Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute (SAMSI), 2010-2017

Associate Director of SAMSI, January-June 2018

Professor of Statistics, University of North Carolina,
Chapel Hill, January 1991-present (on leave, 1994-1996).

Chair of Statistics Department from July 2000 until June 2002.

Joint appointment as Professor of Biostatistics, from February 2008.

Professor of Statistical Science, Cambridge University, U.K. (1994-1996)

Professor of Statistics, University of Surrey, U.K. (1985-1990)

Lecturer in Statistics, Imperial College, London, U.K. (1979-1985)

Visiting positions in many institutions including University of Chicago,
Australian National University, Technion, etc.

**EDUCATION**

B.A. in Mathematics (First Class), Oxford University, 1972-1975 (M.A. 1985).

Ph.D. in Operations Research, Cornell University, 1975-1979.
Ph.D. Advisor: Howard M. Taylor III.

No postdoctoral position.

**HONORS**

Elected Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2020

American Meteorological Society Editors' Award, 2017

Distinguished Service Award, North Carolina Chapter of the American Statistical Association, October 2014.

J. Stuart Hunter Lecturer, The International Environmetrics Society, 2004.

2004 Statistical Science Award, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(awarded jointly with S. Kolenikov and L.H. Cox for the paper "Spatiotemporal
modeling of PM2.5 data with missing values", Journal of Geophysical Research
2003; 108:11-1 11-11).

Fellow, American Statistical Association, 2000.

Distinguished Achievement Medal, Section on Statistics and the Environment,
American Statistical Association, 2000.

Royal Statistical Society, Guy Medal in Silver, 1991.

Fellow, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 1991.

Member of the International Statistical Institute, 1991.

Chartered Statistician of the Royal Statistical Society, 1994.

**EDITORIAL SERVICE**

Member of Statistical Board of Reviewing Editors for *Science *, since 2014.

Series Co-Editor (one of six), Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability.
Chapman and Hall/CRC Press (since 2005).

Series Co-Editor (one of four), Chapman and Hall/CRC Press Series in Environmental Statistics (since 2003).

Associate Editor, * Advances in Water Resources *, 2009-2015.

Associate Editor, * Statistical Science *, 2006-2008.

Associate Editor of Extremes, 1997-2007.

Joint Editor of the Statistical Science Series published by
Oxford University Press, 1999-2002.

Joint Editor of the Royal Statistical Society Series published by
Oxford University Press, 1991-1999.

Associate Editor of Biometrika, 1998-1999.

Associate Editor of the Journal of the American Statistical Association
(Case Studies and Applications), 1996-1999.

Member of Editorial Board of the Applied Probability journals, 1990-1999.

Associate Editor of Technometrics, 1992-1994.

Joint Editor, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B,
1988-1992.

Associate Editor, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B,
July 1986-December 1987.

**OTHER PROFESSIONAL SERVICE**

Member of Science Advisory Board, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2017-2023.

Member of Program Committee for the *International Meeting on Statistical Climatology,* Toulouse, France, June 2019.

Member of Program Committee for the conference * The Nexus of Climate Data, Insurance, and Adaptive Capacity, * Asheville, NC. November 8-9, 2018.

Member of Program Committee for the conference * Statistics for the Environment: Research, Practice and Policy,* Asheville, NC, October 11-13, 2018. Conference organized by the Section for Statistics and the Environment, American Statistical Association.

Organizer of SAMSI workshop on Climate Extremes, at SAMSI (Research Triangle Park, NC), May 16-17, 2018. www.samsi.info/clim

Organizer of SAMSI Climate Transition Workshop, at SAMSI (Research Triangle Park, NC), May 14-16, 2018. www.samsi.info/clim

Co-organizer of the meeting "Data Sciences for Climate and Environment" at the Aan Turing Institute, London, U.K., March 26, 2018 (this event was jointly sponsored by the Alan Turing Institute and SAMSI).

Co-organizer (with Michael Stein and Doug Nychka) of the STATMOS-SAMSI joint workshop on Climate Statistics, held at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, July 17-21, 2017.

Member of Program Committee for 9th international conference on Extreme Value Analysis, Ann Arbor, Michigan, June 15-June 19, 2015.

Member of Statistics Board of Reviewing Editors (SBORE), Science magazine, since 2014.

Chair of the Search Committee to find a new Scientific Director of CANSSI, the Canadian Statistical Sciences Institute,
2014.

Member of National Research Council panel on Societal Impacts of Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis. The final report was published in 2013 (http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=14682).

Chair of the Governing Board of CANSSI, the Canadian Statistical Sciences Institute, 2012-2016 (continuing as a regular Board member until June 2017).

Participant in "Climate Science Day" in 2011 and 2013; this is coordinated by AAAS in conjunction with a number of professional scientific societies, and consists of a day of visits to Capitol Hill offices to meet with members of Congress and Staff to talk about climate change - Smith attended as one of the ASA representatives

Member of Research Committee, Health Effects Institute 2010-2015.

Member, ASA Committee on Climate Change Policy and Statistics, 2009-2012

Chair, Section on Risk Analysis, American Statistical Association
(calendar year 2010)

Member of Program Leaders' Committee for SAMSI Program on
Space-Time Analysis for Environmental Mapping, Epidemiology and Climate Change,
2009-2010.

Faculty Mentor, IMSM graduate student workshop, North Carolina State University,
July 2009.

Local Scientific Coordinator of SAMSI Program on Risk Analysis, Extreme Events
and Decision Theory, academic year 2007-2008.

Member of Mathematics Review Panel, Foundation for Science and
Technology (Portugal), February 18-23, 2008 (responsible for visiting 11
research units in the Lisbon area, preparing reviews and making funding
evaluations)

Co-organizer (with David Marker, Mary Christman and Doug Nychka) of the
workshop "A Statistical Consensus on Climate Change", organized and sponsored by
the American Statistical Association, October 2007.

Member of Product Development Committee for the Synthesis and Assessment Product
3.3 ("Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate"),
for the U.S. Government Climate Change Science Program, 2006-2008.

Chair of General Topics Committee for the 56th Session of the International
Statistical Institute, Lisbon, Portugal, August 22-29, 2007.

Invited participant, workshop on Health Effects of Ambient Ozone, University of
Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, N.Y., June 2007.

Member of Local Development Committee, Statistical and Applied Mathematical
Sciences Institute, North Carolina, (2005-2009).

Member of the Science & Technical Advisory Committee,
Albemarle-Pamlico National Estuary Program (2004-2010)

Trustee of SPRUCE (a U.K.-based charity that organizes conferences
and workshops in environmental statistics), 2002-2014. This activity has now been wound up
following the death of Professor Vic Barnett who was the chairman and instigator of SPRUCE.

Member of National Research Council committee to review Synthesis and
Assessment Product 1.1 ("Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere:
Steps for Understanding and Reconciling Differences"),
for the U.S. Government Climate Change Science Program, 2005.

Chair of Program Leaders Committee, SAMSI Program on Large-Scale Computer
Models for Environmental Systems. Statistical and Applied Mathematical
Sciences Institute, North Carolina, January-June 2003.

Co-organizer (with P. Embrechts, D. Goodman and W.J. Fitzgerald)
of a three-week Newton Institute Program on
"Managing Uncertainty: New Tools for Insurance, Economics and
Finance", Cambridge University, July 23-August 10 2001.

Member of Advisory Board for the Geophysical Statistics Project,
National Center for Atmospheric Research, 2000-2002.

Health Effects Institute, Member of Review Panel for Particulate
Epidemiology Re-Analysis Project (1999-2000), and a Site Visit Team (2007).

Member of Environmental Statistics Committee for the International
Statistical Institute, 1998-2005.

Co-Organiser and Visiting Fellow, Program on "Nonlinear and Nonstationary
Signal Processing", Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences,
Cambridge, U.K., July-December 1998.

Chairman, Royal Statistical Society Research Section, 1995-96 session.

Member of Council, Institute of Mathematical Statistics (1995-1998).

Member of IMS Special Papers Committee 1989-1991 and
1996-1998 (chair 1998).

Member of Council, Institute of Mathematical Statistics (1995-1998).

Committee for Statistics in the Physical Sciences of the
Bernoulli Society, 1989-present.

Member of Council of the Bernoulli Society, 1987-1991.

Member of European Regional Committee of the Bernoulli Society, 1988-90.

Co-organiser (with D.R. Cox and A.P. Dawid) of the Edinburgh Workshop on
Asymptotic Statistics, July 1986.

**RECENT DEPARTMENTAL SERVICE **

PTR committees for Andrew Nobel (chair) and Chuanshu Ji (2020)

Chair of search committee for assistant professor in applied statistics (2019-20)

Chair of full professor promotion committee for Shankar Bhamidi (2019)

Member of reappointment and promotion committee for Robin Cunningham (2018)

Member of reappointment committee for Nicolas Fraiman (2018)

Chair of post-tenure review (PTR) committee for Yufeng Liu (2018)

Member of promotion and tenure committee for Kai Zhang (2017)

Member of PTR committee for Steve Marron (2017)

Member of PTR committee for Vidyadhar Kulkarni (2015)

Member of promotion committee for Yin Xia (2015)

Chair of PTR committee for Ed Carlstein (2014)

Member of promotion committee for Serhan Ziya (2014)

Member of promotion committee for Haipeng Shen (2013)

Member of promotion committee for Jan Hannig (2012)

**UNIVERSITY SERVICE**

Member of the Phase II Committee for the proposed School of Data, Information and Society (Fall 2020)

University Research Council, Divison of Physical Sciences and Mathematics,
committee member or co-chair; Fall 2006 to Spring 2009.

Member of Fellowship Committee of the Graduate School and the
Society of Fellows Faculty Committee, since Fall 2004.

Member of Science Advisers Committee established by Associate Dean Forest,
1998-2000.

University-appointed Trustee of NISS, 2001--2004.

**PH.D. STUDENTS COMPLETED**

Jonathan P. Cohen (Imperial College, Ph.D. obtained 1982)

Anthony C. Davison (Imperial College, Ph.D. 1985, joint advisor)

H.K. Sammy Yuen (Surrey University, Ph.D., 1988)

Jonathan A. Tawn (Surrey University, Ph.D., 1988)

Linda C. Wolstenholme (Surrey University, Ph.D., 1989, joint advisor)

Z.-Q. John Lu (North Carolina, Ph.D., 1994)

Seokhoon Yun (North Carolina, Ph.D., 1994)

Steven Garren (North Carolina, Ph.D., 1994)

Melissa G. Smith (North Carolina, Ph.D., 1996, joint advisor)

Amy M. Grady (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2000)

Dan Spitzner (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2001)

Zhengjun Zhang (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2002)

Petrutza Caragea (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2003)

Francisco Chamu Morales (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2005)

Stas Kolenikov (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2005)

Michele Trovero (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2007)

Jie Zhou (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2007)

Ping Bai (Co-advisor - principal advisor was Yuong Truong;
North Carolina, Ph.D., 2007)

Elizabeth Shamseldin (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2008)

Evangelos Evangelou (joint advisor with Dr. Zhengyuan Zhu;
North Carolina, Ph.D., 2009)

Xuanyao He (joint advisor with Dr. Zhengyuan Zhu; North Carolina, Ph.D., 2009)

Brian Lopes (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2011)

Soyoung Jeon (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2012)

Robert Erhardt (North Carolina, Ph.D., 2011)

**CONFERENCE TALKS AND SCIENTIFIC PRESENTATIONS, 2009-2020.**

Detection and Attribution for Spatial Extremes. To be presented at the virtual workshop on * Confronting Climate Change*, Institute for Mathematical and Statistical Innovation, March 1-5, 2021.

Fair Qualifying Times across Age and Gender Categories for the Boston Marathon.
Presented in a Topic Contributed Paper session, Joint Statistical Meetings, Philadelphia, August 1-6, 2020.

How do Typical Runners' Performances Vary With Age and Gender?
Invited talk at the New England Symposium on Statistics In Sports (NESSIS), Harvard University,
Cambridge, MA, Saturday, September 28.

Extreme event attribution: an important statistical problem for climate change. Invited talk at the Alastair Young 60th Birthday Conference, held at Washington University, St. Louis, August 16, 2019.

How do Typical Runners' Performances Vary With Age and Gender?
Invited talk at Rocky Mountain Symposium on Analytics in Sports, Denver, CO, August 2, 2019.

How extreme was hurricane Harvey? Attribution and future projections. Invited talk at
Workshop on Risk Analysis for Extremes in the Earth System,
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, July 22-24 2019

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Invited talk at the 11th Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) meeting, Zagreb, Croatia, July 1-5, 2019.

Detection and Attribution for Extreme Storms in the Gulf of Mexico
Presented at
14th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology (IMSC), Toulouse, France, June 24-28, 2019.

Hurricane Harvey: Attributions and Future Projections of Damage. Invited talk at Annual Meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), Washington DC, February 2019; session on Extreme Event Attribution in the Context of Climate Change.

An Overview of Detection and Attribution for Climate Extremes.
Presented at the conference
*Statistics for the Environment: Research, Practice & Policy,*
Asheville, NC, October 11-13, 2018.

Time Series Analysis of PM2.5 and Mortality in the Medicare Dataset.
Presented at the Symposium on Causal Methods in Epidemiological Studies of
Particulate Matter and Mortality, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, October 4, 2018.

Influence of climate change on extreme weather events.
Invited presentation in Minisymposium on
Statistics of Extreme Weather and Climate Events
(which I also organized) as part of the
SIAM Conference on Mathematics of Planet Earth (MPE18)
September 13 - 15, 2018, Philadelpha, PA.
(Talk not given; unable to travel to Philadelphia because of
Hurricane Florence.)

Discussant in two sessions at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 29-August 2, 2018.
(a) Session 52: "Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Reports: How Statisticians Can Get Involved;"
(b) Session 661, "The Climate Extremes Program at SAMSI."

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Contributed talk at the World Meeting of the
International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) meeting in Edinburgh, Scotland, July 25-29, 2018. Organizer of the invited paper session, *Bayesian Methods for Detection and Attribution of Climate Change,
*at the same meeting.

Risk of Extreme Weather Events in a Changing Climate.
Invited talk at Bernard Harris Memorial Symposium: Risk in the 21st Century.
Organized by the American Statistical Association Section on Risk Analysis.
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, May 10-11, 2018.

The Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Buehler-Martin Plenary Speaker at the conference * Statistics and Data Science for Earth Systems*, organized by the Institute for Research in Statistics and Its Applications, University of Minnesota, May 3-5, 2018.

Panel Discussion on Reproducible Research. Annual Conference of the Health Effects Institute, Chicago, April 30, 2018

Attribution of extreme precipitation storms in the Gulf of Mexico.
Annual meeting of the International Detection and Attribution Group (IDAG), Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, March 13-15, 2018

Assessing Uncertainty in Climate Projections.
Keynote Talk at the SECURE conference, University of Glasgow, Scotland, September 19, 2017.

Assessing Compliance with EPA Standards; An Appreciation of Larry Cox's Work as an EPA Scientist.
Invited talk in the Larry Cox Memorial Session, Joint Statistical Meetings, July 30-August 3, 2017, Baltimore.

A Very Short Introduction to Extreme Value Theory. Presented as part of a Panel Discussion on Climate Extremes,
Joint Statistical Meetings, July 30-August 3, 2018, Baltimore.

Panel discussion on "Uncertainty and Climate Change."
TIES-GRASPA meeting in Bergamo, Italy, July 24-26, 2017.

Organizer and discussant in session on "Causal inference in air pollution epidemiology." Atlantic Causal Inference Conference 2017, Chapel Hill, N.C., April 23-25, 2017.

Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling framework for Detection and Attribution.
International Detection and Attribution Group, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, March 13-15, 2017.

Climate Extremes, Attributions and Future Projections. TIES conference (The International Environmetrics Society), Edinburgh, Scotland, July 18-22, 2016.

Climate Extremes, Attributions and Future Projections. International "RARE" Conference on Risk Analysis, Ruin theory and Extremes,
Hotel Le Majestic, La Baule, France, July 3-8, 2016.

Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Extreme Event Attribution. Invited talk at the workshop on Uncertainty Modeling in the Analysis of Weather, Climate and Hydrological Extremes, Banff International Research Station, June 12-17, 2016.

Time Series Analysis of Ozone and Mortality in California, 1987-2012. Invited talk at the Environmental Vision Conference, Marriott Marquis Hotel, Washington DC, May 10-11, 2016.

Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Extreme Event Attribution. Invited talk at the meeting of the International Detection and Attribution Group, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, February 1-3, 2016.
Climate extremes: Attributions and future projections. Invited talk at the
60th World Statistics Conference of the International Statistical Institute, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, July 26-31, 2015.

Climate extremes: Attributions and future projections. Invited talk at the
Ninth Conference on Extreme Value Analysis, Ann Arbor, Michigan, June 19, 2015.

Statistics for Climate Science: Short Course and Workshop Lecture given at the
VI-MSS Workshop on Environmental Statistics, Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, March 2-4, 2015,
www.unc.edu/~rls/kolkata.html

Influence of climate change on extreme weather events.
Invited talk at the Climate, Risk and Statistics Workshop,
Department of Statistics, Columbia University, December 11 2014.
Influence of climate change on extreme weather events.
Plenary talk given at the International Conference on Advances in Interdisciplinary Statistics and Combinatorics
(AISC 2014), UNC Greensboro, October 11, 2014

Invited discussion, The SAMSI Program on Computational Methods in Social Sciences.
Joint Statistical Meetings, Boston, MA, August 7, 2014

The Variation of Marathon Performances with Age: A Longitudinal Study.
Invited speaker in session on After the 2013 Boston Marathon:
Predicting Performances in Marathon Races and Other Athletic Events,
Joint Statistical Meetings, Boston, MA, August 3, 2014

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Second SIAM conference on Uncertainty Quantification, Savannah, GA, March 31, 2014.

Completing the Results of the 2013 Boston Marathon. Invited talk at the
New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports, Boston, MA, September 21, 2013

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Invited talk at Third Workshop on Understanding Climate Change from Data,
Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, August 15-16, 2013

Invited discussion, The SAMSI Program on Massive Data Sets.
Joint Statistical Meetings, Montreal, Canada, August 8, 2013

A hierarchical statistical model for regression-based climate change detection and attribution.
Invited speaker in session on Climate Change Detection and Attribution,
Joint Statistical Meetings, Montreal, Canada, August 7, 2013

Invited speaker in Minisymposium onInference in Climate Studies, SIAM Annual Meeting,
San Diego, CA, July 11, 2013

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Invited talk, Annual Meeting of the Canadian Statistical Sciences Institute (CANSSI), Edmonton, Alberta, May 25 2013

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events,
Seminar in Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, April 15, 2013

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events.
Math Awareness talk at Department of Mathematical Sciences and Computer Science, Worcester Polytechnic Institute,
Worcester, MA, April 9, 2013

Influence of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Events (Plenary Lecture) and Climate Statistics (Short Course),
MECC 2013 - International Conference and Advanced School Planet Earth, Mathematics of Energy and
Climate Change, Lisbon, Portugal, 26 and 28 March 2013

Climate Change and Human Mortality.
Invited talk, ENAR Meeting, Orlando, FL, March 11, 2013

Attribution of Extreme Climatic Events.
Wierman Lecture,Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics,
Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, December 6, 2012

Attribution of Extreme Climatic Events. Invited talk at the conference of the Environmental Statistics Section of ASA,
Raleigh, NC, October 2012.

Invited discussion, The Uncertainty Quantification Program at SAMSI.
Joint Statistical Meetings, San Diego, CA, July 29, 2012

Detection and Attribution of Extremes in Climate Events.
Workshop on Frontiers in the Detection and Attribution of Climate Change,
Banff International Research Station, May 27-June 1, 2012

Statistics of Climate Change. Plenary talk at
Institute XXXIII Congreso Nacional de Estadistica e Investigacion Operativa,
Madrid, Spain, April 17 2012

Radial Basis Functions for Multipollutant Analysis.
Environmental Statistics Seminar, Harvard School of Public Health, December 9, 2011

Trends in Climatic Data.
Invited talk at IMA Hot Topics Workshop on Instantaneous Frequencies and Trends for Nonstationary Nonlinear Data.
Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, Minneapolis, September 7, 2011

Invited discussion, Analysis of Object Data at SAMSI.
Joint Statistical Meetings, Miami Beach, FL, August 3, 2011

Addressing the Evidence for Anthropogenic Climate Change.
Invited Panel Discussion, Joint Statistical Meetings, Miami Beach, FL, August 3, 2011

Extreme value theory and single-event attribution in climatology.
Invited talk at the Seventh Conference on Extreme Value Analysis,
Lyon, France, July 1, 2011

Attribution of Extreme Events using Observational Data and Climate Models.
Workshop on Data Hierarchices for Climate Modeling, Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics, UCLA, May 28 2011

Statistics for Air POllution Epidemiology: Alternative Models and Interpretations.
Presented at health Effects Institute Annual Conference, Boston, May 1, 2011.

Responding to Challenges in Climate Science. Talk given to
Triangle Area Research Directors Council (TARDC), February 22, 2011

Air Pollution and Health: An Ongoing Debate.
Presented at Paul Switzer Retirement Symposium, Stanford University, October 22 2010

Extreme Value Theory and Single Event Attribution. Presented at WCRP-UNESCO (GEWEX/CLIVAR/IHP) Workshop on
metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events.
Paris, France, September 27-29, 2010

Spatial and temporal interpolation of environmental data (white paper written jointly with Noel Cressie).
Workshop on Creating Surface Temperature Datasets to Meet 21st Century Challenges. At the UK Metorological Office,
Exeter, U.K., September 7-9, 2010

Discussant of The Value of Multiproxy Reconstruction of Past Climate.
Editor's invited paper session, JASA Applications and Case Studies,
Joint Statistical Meetings, Vancouver, Canada, August 4, 2010

Discussion, Space-Time Analysis and SAMSI.
Joint Statistical Meetings, Vancouver, Canada, August 3, 2010

Comparing climate models with observational data:
Detection and attribution for climate means and climate extremes.
Invited speaker (4 talks) at 41st Winter Conference on Statistics,
University of Umea, March 7-11, 2010.

From theory to practice: A mathematical history of order statistics and their
application to strength of materials, economics and climate change.
Invited talk at workshop to honor Ishay Weissman, Technion, Haifa, Israel,
December 7 2009.

An overview of etxreme value theory.
Invited presentation at
Workshop on Spatial Extremes;
Bernoulli Centre, EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland; November 9--13, 2009.

Invited participant in a panel discussion on Climate Change Policy.
Joint Statistical Meetings, Washington D.C., August 2-6 2009.

Estimating the Probability of Climate Change.
Organizer and speaker in invited session at European Meeting of Statisticians;
Toulouse, France, July 20--24, 2009.

Extreme Precipitation Trends over the Continental United States.
Invited presentation at
Workshop on Spatial Extremes;
Bernoulli Centre, EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland; July 13--17, 2009.

Graybill conference/EVA VII at Colorado State (June 23-25).
Organizer and Discussant of an invited paper session on Geostatistics and Climate.

Extreme Precipitation Trends over the Continental United States.
Invited presentation at
Workshop on Climate Change and Extreme Value Theory,
EURANDOM and KNMI, The Netherlands, May 11, 2009

Extreme Precipitation Trends over the Continental United States.
Invited presentation at
Workshop on Effects of Climate Change: coastal systems, policy implications
and the role of statistics. Sliema, Malta, March 19, 2009

Detection and Attribution for Precipitation Trends.
Meeting of the International Detection and Attribution Group,
Boulder, Colorado, January 21-23, 2009.

Extreme Value Theory. Invited presentation at the American Meteorological Society
short course on Statistics of Extreme Events, Phoenix, January 9 2009.

**RESEARCH FUNDING AT UNC**

NSF Award DMS-1638521, "Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute",
$3,097,333 per year for three years,
September 1, 2017 to August 31, 2020. (RLS was PI of the grant and Director of SAMSI through 1/1/2018; the new PI and Director is Dr. David Banks of Duke University.)

SAMSI supplementary award (2011), $314,308 to upport the Virtual Institute in Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (joint program with several
institutes in India)

NSF Award DMS-1242957,
"Collaborative Research: Advancing extreme value
analysis of high impact climate and weather events".
$110,725,
July 1 , 2013 to June 30, 2018.

SAMSI supplementary award (2015), $181,430 to organize an Innovations Lab on Precision Medicine.

NSF Award DMS-1127914, "Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute" (the main SAMSI grant; RLS was PI and Director of SAMSI),
$3,505,120 per year for five years,
September 1, 2012 to August 31, 2017.

SAMSI supplementary award (2011), $314,308 to upport the Virtual Institute in Mathematical and Statistical Sciences (joint program with several
institutes in India)

NSF Award DMS-0605434, "Optimal Design of Experiments for Correlated
Observations" (co-PI; PI was Dr. Zhengyuan Zhu).
$218,961, 07/01/06 to 06/30/09.

American Petroleum Institute,
"Reassessing the relationship between ozone and short-term mortality
in US urban communities" (PI),
$65,332, 07/01/06 to 12/31/06.

Environmental Protection Agency,
"Effects of climate change of human health: current and future
impacts" (one of several senior investigators; PI is Dr. Adel Hanna,
Carolina Environmental Program).
$599,103 from 07/01/05 to 06/30/08

North Carolina Urban Water Consortium,
"Drought vulnerability in North Carolina: Low flow response to
expected climate and land-use change" (co-PI; PI is Dr. Lawrence Band,
UNC Department of Geography).
$65,441 from 01/01/05 to 06/30/06

NOAA award, "Statistical Assessment of Uncertainty in Present and Future
North American Climate Extremes" (PI; co-PI is Dr. Gabriele Hegerl,
Duke University). $414,981, 02/01/05 to 01/31/09 (UNC portion is $256,734).

NIH/NIEHS, The environmental epidemiology of arrythomogenesis in WHI.
One of numerous co-investigators; PI is Dr. Eric Whitsel (UNC, Department
of Epidemiology). $2,377,066, 09/08/03 to 05/31/08.

NSF Award DMS-0084375, "Spatial Modeling, Analysis and Prediction
of Nonstationary Environmental Processes." (PI)
$149,587, 2000-2004

NSF Award DMS-9971980, "Extreme Values, Time Series and Prediction" (PI).
$65,000, 1999-2001.

EPA Cooperative Agreement CR-827737-01-0, "Statistical Issues in Particulate
Matter Studies" (PI), $197,473, 1999-2001.

EPA Contract OD-5210-NAEX, "Estimating Spatial Trends in Airborne
Concentrations and Total Deposition" (PI), $45,955, 1999-2000.

NSF Award DMS-9803794, "Workshops on Nonlinear and Nonstationary Signal
Processing" (PI), $19,000, 1998-1999.

NSF Award DMS-9705166, "Significance Testing of Pattern
Correspondence Statistics" (PI), $63,000, 1997-1999 (cost-free extension
to July 2000).

NSF Award DMS-9205112, "Chaotic time series and environmental extremes" (PI).
$72,500, 1992-1995.

NSF Award DMS-9115750
(PI; joint with Professor P.J. Robinson, Department of Geography),
"Mathematical Sciences: Climatic thresholds and climate change",
$97,185, 1991-1994.

NSF SCREMS Award (jointly with G.
Simons, J.S. Marron, E. Carlstein and J. Fan), $80,000, 1990-2.

**BOOKS**

M.J. Crowder, A.C. Kimber, R.L Smith and T.J. Sweeting (1991),
*Statistical Analysis of Reliability Data*. Chapman and Hall, London.

W.J. Fitzgerald, R.L. Smith, A.T. Walden and P.C. Young (editors) (2000),
* Nonlinear and Nonstationary Signal Processing *.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.

G.A. Young and R.L. Smith (2005),
* Essentials of Statistics Inference *.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.

A. Gelfand, M. Fuentes, J. Hoeting, and R.L. Smith (editors),
*Handbook of Environmental and Ecological Statistics. *
Chapman and Hall/CRC Handbooks of Modern Statistical Methods, publication due January, 2019.

**PAPERS PUBLISHED OR ACCEPTED FOR PUBLICATION**

(* denotes refereed paper or book chapter)

*B.W. Turnbull, H. Kaspi and R.L. Smith (1978), Adaptive sequential
procedures for selecting the best of several normal populations.
*J. Statist. Comput. Simul. ***7**, 133-150.

*R.L. Smith (1980), A probability model for fibrous composites with
local load sharing. *Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A ***372**, 539-553.

*R.L. Smith and S.L. Phoenix (1981), Asymptotic distributions for
the failure of fibrous materials under series-parallel structure
and equal load sharing. *J. Appl. Mechanics ***103**, 75-82.

*R.L. Smith (1982), The asymptotic distribution of the strength of a
series-parallel system with equal load-sharing. *Ann. Probab. ***10**, 137-171.

*R.L. Smith (1982), Uniform rates of convergence in extreme value theory.
*Adv. Appl. Prob. ***14**, 600-622.

*I. Gerontidis and R.L. Smith (1982), Monte Carlo generation of order
statistics from general distributions. *Appl. Statist. ***31**, 238-243.

*R.L. Smith (1982), A note on a probability model for fibrous composites.
*Proc. R. Soc Lond. A. ***382**, 179-182.

*D.G. Harlow, R.L. Smith and H.M. Taylor (1983), Lower-tail analysis of
the distribution of strength of a series-parallel system. *J. Appl. Prob.
***20**, 358-367.

*R.L. Smith (1983), Limit theorems and approximations for the reliability
of load-sharing systems. *Adv. Appl. Prob. ***15**, 304-330.

*L.N. McCartney and R.L. Smith (1983), Statistical theory of the strength
of fibre bundles. *J. Appl. Mech. ***50**, 601-608.

*S.L. Phoenix and R.L. Smith (1983), A comparison of probabilistic
techniques for the strength of fibrous materials under local load-sharing
among fibres. *Int. J. of Solids and Structures ***19**, 479-496.

*R.L. Smith, S.L. Phoenix, M.R. Greenfield, R.B. Henstenburg and R.E. Pitt
(1983). Lower-tail approximations for the probability of failure of 3-D
fibrous composites with hexagonal geometry. *Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A ***388**,
352-391.

*R.L. Smith (1983), The random variation of stress concentration factors
in fibrous composites. *J. Mater. Sci. Letters ***2**, 385-387.

*J. Malathronas, J. Perkins and R.L. Smith (1983), The availability of a
system of two unreliable machines connected by an intermediate storage
tank. *IIE Transactions ***15**, 195-201.

*R.L. Smith and H.M. Taylor (1984), Models for fibre-matrix composites
with local load-sharing. *Operations Research ***32**, 649-659.

*R.L. Smith (1984), Threshold methods for sample extremes. In *Statistical
Extremes and Applications*, edited by J. Tiago de Oliveira, Reidel,
Dordrecht, 621-638.

*R.L. Smith (1984), Properties of biased coin designs in sequential clinical
trials. *Ann. Statist. ***12**, 1018-1034.

*R.L. Smith (1984), Sequential treatment allocation using biased coin designs.
*J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B ***46**, 519-543.

*R.L. Smith (1985), Maximum likelihood estimation in a class of nonregular
cases. *Biometrika ***72**, 67-90.

R.L. Smith (1985), Probabilistic models for composites: Are there flaws in
the theory? In *Probabilistic Methods in the Mechanics and Solids and
Structures*, edited by S. Eggwertz and N.C. Lind, Springer Verlag, Berlin,
291-298.

*A.S. Watson and R.L. Smith (1985), An examination of statistical theories
for fibrous materials in the light of experimental data. *J. Mater. Sci.
***20**, 3260-3270.

*R.L. Smith and I. Weissman (1985), Maximum likelihood estimation of the
lower tail of a probability distribution. *J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B ***47**,
285-298.

R.L. Smith (1985), Statistics of Extreme Values. *Proc. 45th Session ISI*,
Paper 26.1.

*L.-J. Wei, R.T. Smythe and R.L. Smith (1986), K-treatment comparisons
with restricted randomization rules in clinical trials. *Ann. Statist. ***14**,
265-274.

*R.L. Smith and J.E. Miller (1986), A non-Gaussian state space model and
application to the prediction of records. *J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B ***48**, 79-88.

*R.L. Smith (1986), Extreme value statistics and reliability applications.
*Reliability Engineering ***15**, 161-170.

*R.L. Smith (1986), Extreme value theory based on the r largest annual
events. *J. Hydrology ***86**, 27-43.

*R.L. Smith (1986), Maximum likelihood estimation for the NEAR(2) model.
*J.R. Statist. Soc. B ***48**, 251-257.

*C.M. Goldie and R.L. Smith (1987), Slow variation with remainder: Theory
and applications. *Quart. J. Math. Oxford (2) ***38**, 45-71.

*C.M. Goldie and R.L. Smith (1987), On the denominators in Sylvester's
series. *Proc. Lond. Math. Soc. ***54**, 445-476.

*R.L. Smith and J.C. Naylor (1987), A comparison of maximum likelihood and
Bayesian estimators for the three-parameter Weibull distribution.
*Applied Statistics ***36**, 358-369.

*R.L. Smith (1987), Estimating tails of probability distributions.
*Ann. Statist. ***15**, 1174-1207.

R.L. Smith and J.C. Naylor (1987), Statistics of the three-parameter
Weibull distribution. *Annals of Operations Research ***9**, 577-587.

*R.L. Smith and I. Weissman (1987), Large deviations of tail estimators
based on the Pareto approximation. *J. Appl. Probab. ***24**, 619-630.

*R.L. Smith and M. Corbett (1987), Measuring marathon courses: an
application of statistical calibration theory. *Applied Statistics
***36**, 283-295.

R.L. Smith (1987), Statistical models for composite materials. *Proceedings
of the First World Congress of the Bernoulli Society*, edited by Yu. A.
Prokorov and V.V. Sazonov. VNU Science Press, Utrecht, Vol.2, 471-483.

*M.J. Bader, M.J. Pitkethly and R.L. Smith (1987), Probabilistic models for
hybrid composites. *Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference
on Composite Materials*, edited by F.L. Matthews, N.C.R. Buskell, J.M.
Hodgkinson and J. Morton, Vol.5, 481-495.

*P. Hall and R.L. Smith (1988), The kernel method for unfolding sphere size
distributions. *J. Comput. Phys. ***74**, 409-421.

*R.L. Smith (1988), Forecasting records by maximum likelihood. *J. Amer.
Statist. Assoc. ***83**, 331-338.

*R.L. Smith (1988), A counterexample concerning the extremal index. Letter
to the editor, *Adv. Appl. Prob. ***20**, 681-683.

*R.L. Smith (1988), Extreme value theory for dependent sequences via the
Stein-Chen method of Poisson approximation. *Stoch. Proc. Appl.
***30**, 317-328.

*S.L. Phoenix, D. Farquhar, F.M. Mutrelle and R.L. Smith (1989),
Lifetime statistics for single graphite fibers in creep-rupture.
*J. Mater. Sci. ***24**, 2151-2164.

*L.C. Wolstenholme and R.L. Smith (1989), Statistical inference about stress
concentrations in fibre-matrix composites. *J. Mater. Sci. ***24**, 1559-1569.

R.L. Smith (1989), Gringorten's formula. In *Encyclopedia of Statistical
Sciences*, edited by N.L. Johnson and S. Kotz, Supplementary Volume. Wiley,
New York, 69-70.

R.L. Smith (1989), A survey of nonregular problems. *Proc. 47th Session ISI*
Book 3, 353-372.

*R.L. Smith (1989), Extreme value analysis of environmental time series:
An application to trend detection in ground-level ozone (with discussion).
*Statistical Science ***4**, 367-393.

*R.L. Smith, J.A. Tawn and H.-K. Yuen (1990), Statistics of multivariate
extremes. *International Statistical Review ***58**, 47-58.

*A.C. Davison and R.L. Smith (1990), Models for exceedances over high
thresholds (with discussion). *J.R. Statist. Soc. ***52**, 393-442.

R.L. Smith (1990), Extreme value theory. Chapter 14 of *Handbook of
Applicable Mathematics Supplement*, edited by W. Ledermann, E. Lloyd,
S. Vajda and C. Alexander. John Wiley, Chichester, 437-472.

*A.C. Atkinson, L.R. Pericchi and R.L. Smith (1991), Grouped likelihood
for the shifted power transformation. *J.R. Statist. Soc. B. ***53**, 473-482.

*R.L. Smith (1991), Weibull regression models for reliability data.
*Reliability Engineering and System Safety ***34**, 55-77.

*R.L. Smith (1991), Optimal estimation of fractal dimension. In
*Nonlinear Modeling and Forecasting*, SFI Studies in the Sciences of
Complexity, Proc. Vol. XII, Edited by M. Casdagli and S. Eubank,
Addison-Wesley.

R.L. Smith (1992), Introduction to Gnedenko (1943), "Sur la distribution
limite du terme maximum...". In * Breakthroughs in Statistics I: Foundations
and Basic Theory*, edited by S. Kotz and N.L. Johnson, Springer Verlag,
New York, 185-194.

*H. Joe, R.L. Smith and I. Weissman (1992), Bivariate threshold methods for
extremes. *J.R. Statist. Soc. B. ***54**, 171-183.

*R.L. Smith (1992), Estimating dimension in noisy chaotic time series.
*J.R. Statist. Soc. B. ***54**, 329-351.

*R.L. Smith (1992), The extremal index for a Markov chain. *J. Applied
Probability ***29**, 37-45.

R.L. Smith (1992), The relation between Statistics and Chaos: Comment on
papers by Chatterjee and Yilmaz and by Berliner, *Statistical Science
***7**, 109-113.

N.D. Singpurwalla and R.L. Smith (1992), A conversation with Boris
Vladimirovich Gnedenko. *Statistical Science ***7**, 273-283.

R.L. Smith (1992), Comment on paper by J. Beran. *Statistical Science
***7**, 422-425.

R.L. Smith (1993), Long-range dependence and global warming. In
*Statistics for the Environment*, edited by V. Barnett and F. Turkman,
John Wiley, Chichester, 141-161.

*R.L. Smith (1993), Statistics research for the next ten years.
*Statistics and Computing*** 3**, 205-208.

*R.L. Smith and I. Weissman (1994), Estimating the extremal index.
*J.R. Statist. Soc. B ***56**, 515-128.

*R.L. Smith (1994), Nonregular regression. *Biometrika ***81**, 173-183.

R.L. Smith (1994), Multivariate threshold methods. In *Extreme Value
Theory and Applications*, edited by J. Galambos, J. Lechner and E. Simiu.
Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 225-248.

R.L. Smith (1994), Spatial modelling of rainfall data. In *Statistics for
the Environment 2: Water Related Issues*, edited by V. Barnett and F. Turkman,
John Wiley, Chichester, 19-42.

*S. Coles, J. Tawn and R.L. Smith (1994), A seasonal Markov model for
extremely low temperatures. *Environmetrics ***5**, 221-239.

*R.L. Smith and T.S. Shively (1995), A point process approach to modeling
trends in tropospheric ozone. *Atmospheric Environment ***29**, 3489-3499.

*R. Lund, H. Hurd, P. Bloomfield and R.L. Smith (1995), Climatological time
series with periodic correlation. *Journal of Climate ***8**, 2787-2809.

R.L. Smith (1995), Likelihood and modified likelihood estimation for
distributions with unknown endpoints. In *Recent Advances in Reliability
and Life Testing*, edited by N. Balakrishnan, CRC Press, Boca Raton,
455-474.

*C.-Y. Hui, S.L. Phoenix, M. Ibnabdeljalil and R.L. Smith (1995),
An exact closed form solution for fragmentation of Weibull fibers
in a single filament composite with applications to fiber-reinforced
ceramics. *J. Mech. Phys. Solids ***43**, 1551-1585.

R.L. Smith and P.J. Robinson (1995), A Bayesian approach to modelling
spatial-temporal precipitation data. *Proceedings of the Sixth
International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, Galway, Ireland.*

R.L. Smith and F.-L. Chen (1996), Regression in long-memory time series.
In *Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series, Volume II:
Time Series Analysis in Memory of E.J. Hannan*, edited by P.M. Robinson
and M. Rosenblatt, Springer Lecture Notes in Statistics **115**, 378-391.

*R.L. Smith and P.J. Robinson (1997), A Bayesian approach to the modelling
of spatial-temporal precipitation data. In *Case Studies in Bayesian
Statistics III*, edited by C. Gatsonis et al., Lecture Notes in Statistics
121, Springer Verlag, New York, 237-264.

*R.L. Smith (1997), Statistics for exceptional athletics records.
Letter to the Editor, *Applied Statistics ***46**, 123-127.

*Z.-Q. Lu and R.L. Smith (1997), Estimating local Lyapunov exponents.
In *Nonlinear dynamics and time series: Building a bridge between
the natural and statistical sciences*, edited by C. Cutler and D. Kaplan.
Fields Institute Communications **11**, 135-151.

*R.L. Smith, J.A. Tawn and S.G. Coles (1997), Markov chain models for
threshold exceedances. *Biometrika ***84**, 249-268.

R.L. Smith (1997), Introduction to the paper by J. Besag (1974), Spatial
interaction and the statistical analysis of lattice systems. In
*Breakthroughs in Statistics III*, edited by S. Kotz and N.L.Johnson.
Springer Verlag, New York, 1997.

J. Shreffler, J.M. Davis and R.L. Smith (1997), An initial search for
association between particulate concentrations and mortality in Phoenix.
*Proceedings of the 1997 U.S. EPA/AWMA International Symposium on
Measurement of Toxic and Related Air Pollutants*, VIP-74, Air and
Waste Management Association: Pittsburgh, 431-441.

R.L. Smith (1997), Detecting signals in climatological data.
*Bulletin of the 51st Session ISI* Book 1 pp. 211-214, 1997.

R.L. Smith and H.E. Daniels (1997), Load-sharing systems.
In *Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences *, Update Vol. 1,
edited by S. Kotz, C.B. Read and D.L. Banks, pp. 372-380.
Wiley, New York.

*W. Piegorsch, E.P. Smith, D. Edwards and R.L. Smith (1998), Statistical
advances in environmental science. *Statistical Science
***13**, 186-208.

R.L. Smith, J.M. Davis and P. Speckman (1998), Airborne particles and
mortality. Chapter 6 of *Case Studies in Environmental Statistics*, edited
by L.H. Cox, D. Nychka and W.W. Piegorsch, Springer Lecture Notes in
Statistics, 91-120.

*T.M.L. Wigley, R.L. Smith and B.D. Santer (1998), Anthropogenic influence
on the autocorrelation function of hemispheric-mean temperatures.
*Science ***282**, 1676-1679 (November 27 1998).

R.L. Smith, J.M. Davis and P. Speckman (1999), Human health effects of
environmental pollution in the atmosphere. Chapter 6 of *Statistics in the
Environment 4: Statistical Aspects of Health and the Environment*, edited by
V. Barnett, A. Stein and F. Turkman. John Wiley, Chichester, 91-115.

*R.L. Smith (1999), Bayesian and frequentist approaches to parametric
predictive inference (with discussion). In *Bayesian Statistics 6*,
edited by J.M. Bernardo, J.O. Berger, A.P. Dawid and A.F.M. Smith.
Oxford University Press, pp. 589-612.

R.L. Smith, J.M. Davis and P. Speckman (1999), Assessing the human health
risk of atmospheric particles (with discussion).
In *Environmental Statistics: Analysing Data for Environmental Policy.*
Novartis Foundation Symposium 220. John Wiley, Chichester, 59-79.

*L.-S. Huang and R.L. Smith (1999), Meteorologically dependent trends in
urban ozone. *Environmetrics ***10**, 103-118.

*S.T. Garren and R.L. Smith (1999), Estimation of the second largest
eigenvalue of a Markov transition matrix. *Bernoulli ***6**, 215-242.

Y. Kim, D. Spitzner, Z. Zhang, R.L. Smith and M. Fuentes (1999),
Accounting for multiple pollutants in pollution-mortality studies.
*Proceedings of the ASA Biometrics Section*, 1-10.

*D.M. Holland, V. De Oliveira, L.H. Cox and R.L. Smith (2000),
Estimation of regional trends in sulfur dioxide over the eastern
United States.
*Environmetrics ***11**, 373-393.

R.L. Smith and D. Goodman (2000),
Bayesian risk analysis.
Chapter 17 of *Extremes and Integrated Risk Management,*
edited by P. Embrechts. Risk Books, London, 235-251.

R.L. Smith (2000),
Measuring risk with extreme value theory.
In *Risk Management: Theory and Practice*,
edited by M. Dempster, Cambridge University Press.
Also published as chapter 2 of *Extremes and Integrated Risk Management*,
edited by P. Embrechts. Risk Books, London, 19-35.

*R.L. Smith, Y. Kim, M. Fuentes and D. Spitzner (2000),
Threshold dependence of mortality effects for fine and
coarse particles in Phoenix, Arizona.
*Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association
***50**, 1367-1379.

*R.L. Smith, J.M. Davis, J. Sacks, P. Speckman and P. Styer (2000),
Regression models for air pollution and daily mortality: analysis of
data from Birmingham, Alabama. *Environmetrics ***11**, 719-743.

*S.T. Garren, R.L. Smith and W. Piegorsch (2000),
Reader reaction: On a likelihood-based goodness-of-fit test for
the beta-binomial model. *Biometrics ***56**, 947-949.

R.L. Smith (2000),
Spatial statistics in environmental science. Chapter 5 of,
*Nonlinear and Nonstationary Signal Processing*,
edited by W.J. Fitzgerald, R.L. Smith, A.T. Walden and P.C. Young,
Cambridge University Press, pp. 152-183.

*S.T. Garren, R.L. Smith and W. Piegorsch (2001),
Bootstrap goodness-of-fit for the beta-binomial model.
*Journal of Applied Statistics ***28**, 561-571.

M. Fuentes, R. Smith and S. Kolenikov (2001),
Models and computations for nonstationary spatial processes,
*Bulletin of 53rd Session of International Statistical Institute*,
Paper 544, Seoul, Korea, August 22-29 2001.

S. Yun and R.L. Smith (2001),
Spatial trends and spatial extremes in South Korean ozone.
* Bulletin of 53rd Session of International Statistical Institute*,
Paper 942, Seoul, Korea, August 22-29 2001.

*R.L. Smith (2002),
A statistical assessment of Buchanan's vote in Palm Beach county.
*Statistical Science ***17**, 441-457.

R.L. Smith (2003),
Invited commentary: Timescale-dependent Mortality Effects of Air Pollution.
*American Journal of Epidemiology ***157**, 1066-1070.

R.L. Smith (2003),
Data analytic approaches for modeling specific pollutants in epidemiological
studies.
In *Improving Estimates of Diesel and Other Emissions for
Epidemiologic Studies*,
eds. M.G. Costantini, D.A. Kaden, A.G. Russell, J.M. Samet and J. Warren.
HEI Communication 10, Health Effects Institute,
Cambridge, MA, pp. 153-160.

*R.L. Smith, T.M.L. Wigley and B.D. Santer (2003),
A bivariate time series approach to anthropogenic trend detection in
hemispheric time series.
*Journal of Climate ***16**, 1228-1240.

*R.L. Smith, S. Kolenikov and L.H. Cox (2003),
Spatio-temporal modeling of PM2.5 data with missing values.
*J. Geophys. Res., 108*(D24), 9004,
doi:10.1029/2002JD002914, 2003.
/postscript/rs/Smith-JGR-2003.pdf

*R.L. Smith (2003),
Statistics of extremes, with applications in environment, insurance
and finance. Chapter 1 of,
*Extreme Values in Finance, Telecommunications and the Environment*,
edited by B. Finkenstadt and H. Rootzen, Chapman and Hall/CRC Press,
London, pp. 1-78.

R.L. Smith (2003),
The role of statistics in assessing the public health threat of air
pollution.
*Proceedings of 54rd Session of International Statistical Institute*,
Session IPM_51, Berlin.
/postscript/rs/isi2003.pdf

R.L. Smith (2003),
Discussion of "Bush v. Gore...". Letter to the Editor, *Chance*
**16**, No. 4, pp. 4-5.

*S. Yun and R.L. Smith (2003),
Spatial trends and spatial extremes in South Korean ozone.
* Journal of the Korean Statistical Society* **32**: 4, 313-335.

M. Higgins, J.C. Bailar, M. Brauer, B. Brunekreef, D. Clayton, M. Feinleib,
B. Lederer and R.L. Smith (2003),
Commentary: Health Review Committee.
*Journal of Environmental and Toxicological Research, Part A* **66**,
1651-1683.

*D.M. Holland, P. Caragea and R.L. Smith (2004),
Regional trends in rural sulfur concentrations.
*Atmospheric Environment* ** 38 **, 1673-1684.

R.L. Smith (2004),
Discussion of "A conditional approach for multivariate extreme value"
by J.E. Heffernan and J.A. Tawn.
* J.R.Statist.Soc. B * ** 66**, 530-532.

*C. Tebaldi, L.O. Mearns, D. Nychka and R.L. Smith (2004),
Regional probabilities of precipitation change: A Bayesian analysis
of multimodel simulations.
* Geophysical Research Letters * ** 31 **
L24213, doi:10.1029/2004GL021276, 2004.

*Z. Zhang and R.L. Smith (2004),
The behavior of multivariate maxima of moving maxima processes.
* Journal of Applied Probability * ** 41 ** 1113-1123.

*C. Tebaldi, R.L. Smith, D. Nychka and L.O. Mearns (2005),
Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A
Bayesian approach to the analysis of multi-model ensembles.
* Journal of Climate * ** 18 ** 1524-1540.
(Corrigendum, August 14 2005)

*E.A. Whitsel, P.M. Quibrera, R.L. Smith, D.J. Catellier, D. Liao,
A.C. Henley and G. Heiss (2006),
Accuracy of commercial geocoding: assessment and implications.
* Epidemiologic Perspectives & Innovations *
2006, 3:8, doi:10.1186/1742-5573-3-8.

*D. Liao, D.J. Peuquet, Y. Duan, E.A. Whitsel, J. Dou, R.L. Smith,
H.-M. Lin, J.-C. Chen and G. Heiss (2006),
GIS approaches for the estimation of residential-level ambient PM concentrations.
* Environmental Health Perspectives,***114**, Nr. 9, 1374-1380.

R.L. Smith (2006),
Discussion of the paper "Deriving Bayesian and frequentist estimators
from time-invariant estimating equations: a unifying approach" by
Antonietta Mira and Adrian Baddeley. Proceedings of the Eighth Valencia
Meeting on Bayesian Statistics, in press.

*P. Caragea and R.L. Smith (2007),
Asymptotic properties of computationally efficient alternative estimators for a class of multivariate normal models.
* Journal of Multivariate Analysis *, ** 98 **, 1417-1440.

R.L. Smith (2007), Air Pollution Risk. To appear in the
* Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Assessment*, edited by Brian Everitt and Ed. Melnick,
to be published by John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.

C. Tebaldi, M.D. Mastrandrea and R.L. Smith (2007), Global Warming.
To appear in the
* Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Assessment*, edited by Brian Everitt and Ed. Melnick,
to be published by John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.

C. Tebaldi and R.L. Smith (2008),
Characterizing the uncertainty of climate change projections using
hierarchical models. In, * Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis.*
M. West and A. O'Hagan, eds., Oxford University Press, forthcoming.

*R.L. Smith, C. Tebaldi, D. Nychka and L.O. Mearns (2009),
Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models.
* Journal of the American Statistical Association * ** 104, ** 97-116.

*R.L. Smith, B. Xu and P. Switzer (2009),
Reassessing the relationship between ozone and short-term mortality in U.S.
urban communities.
* Inhalation Toxicology * ** 21 (S2) **, 37-61.

*R.O. McClellan, M.W. Frampton, P. Koutrakis, W.F. McDonnell, S.Moolgavkar, D.W. North,
A.E. Smith, R.L. Smith8 and M.J. Utell (2009),
Critical Considerations in Evaluating Scientific Evidence of Health Effects
of Ambient Ozone: A Conference Report.
* Inhalation Toxicology * ** 21 (S2) **, 1-36.

*Shamseldin, E.C., Smith, R.L., Sain, S.R., Mearns, L.O and Cooley, D.
(2008), Downscaling Extremes: A Comparison of
Extreme Value Distributions in Point-Source and Gridded Precipitation Data.
* Annals of Applied Statistics * ** 4 (1) **, 484-502.

*Z. Zhang and R.L. Smith (2010),
On the estimation and application of max-stable processes.
* Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference * ** 140 **, 1135-1153.

*C. Park, F. Hernandez-Campos, L. Le, J.S. Marron, J. Park, V. Pipiras, F.D. Smith, R.L. Smith, M. Trovero and Z. Zhu (2010),
Long-range dependence analysis of Internet traffic. * Journal of Applied Statistics *, first published on
30 September 2010 (iFirst), DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2010.505949.

*M.J. Heaton, M. Katzfuss, S. Ramachandar, K. Pedings, E. Gilleland, E. Mannshardt-Shamseldin and R.L. Smith (2010), Spatio-temporal models for large-scale indicators of extreme weather. * Environmetrics *, ** 22 (3) **, 294-303.

*Wehner, M.F., Smith, R.L., Bala, G. and Duffy, P. (2010), The effect of horizontal resolution on simulation of very extreme US precipitation events in a global atmospheric model. * Climate Dynamics * ** 34 **, 243-247.

*Hanna, A., Yeatts, K.B., Xiu, A., Zhu, Z., Smith, R.L., Davis, N., Talgo, K.D.,
Arora, G., Robinson, P.J., Meng, Q. and Pinto, J. (2011),
Associations between Ozone and Morbidity Using the Spatial Synoptic Classification System
Environmental Health 2011, 10:49

*Erhardt, R. and Smith, R.L. (2012),
Approximate Bayesian computing for spatial extremes.
* Computational Statistics and Data Analysis * ** 56 **, 1468-1481.

*Holliday, K.M., Avery, C.L., Poole, C., McGraw, K., Williams, R., Liao, D., Smith, R.L., Whitsel, E.A. (2014),
Estimating personal exposures from ambient air pollution measures: using meta-analysis to assess measurement error.
* Epidemiology * ** 25**(1):35-43. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000006.

*Hammerling, D., Cefalu, M., Cisewski, J., Dominici, F., Parmigiani, G., Paulson, C. and Smith, R.L. (2014),
Completing the Results of the 2013 Boston Marathon.
* PLoS ONE * ** 9**(4): e93800.

*Craigmile, P.F., Guttorp, P., Lund, R., Smith, R.L., Thorne, P.W. and Arndt, D. (2014),
Warm streaks in the U.S. temperature record: What are the chances?
*Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. *
Published online : 19 MAY 2014, DOI: 10.1002/2013JD021446

*Erhardt, R.J. and Smith, R.L. (2014),
Weather derivative risk measures for extreme events.
* North American Actuarial Journal*, DOI: 10.1080/10920277.2014.910472

*Smith, R.L., Powers, S. and Cisewski, J. (2014),
Qualifying times for the Boston marathon.
*Chance* 27 (3), 25-33.

*Erhardt, R.J., Band, L.E., Smith, R.L. and Lopes, B.J. (2015),
Statistical downscaling of precipitation on a spatially dependent network using a regional climate model.
* Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment*, Volume 29, Number 7, pp 1835-1849, DOI 10.1007/s00477-014-0988-y.

*Katzfuss, M., Hammerling, D. and Smith, R.L. (2017), A Bayesian hierarchical model for climate change detection and attribution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 1-9, doi:10.1002/2017GL073688. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.libproxy.lib.unc.edu/doi/10.1002/2017GL073688/full

* Young, S.S., Lopiano, K. and Smith, R.L. (2017), Air quality and acute deaths in California, 2000-2012. * Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology * ** 88 ** 173-184. Previous version available at https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.03062.

Cooley, D., Hunter, B.D. and Smith, R.L. (2019), Univariate and Multivariate Extremes for the Environmental Sciences. Chapter 8 of
* Handbook of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, * eds. A. Gelfand,
M. Fuentes, J, Hoeting and R.L. Smith, Chapman and Hall/CRC Press.

Hammerling, D., Katzfuss, M. and Smith, R.L. (2019), Climate Change Detection and Attribution. Chapter 34 of
* Handbook of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, * eds. A. Gelfand,
M. Fuentes, J, Hoeting and R.L. Smith, Chapman and Hall/CRC Press.

Erhardt, R., Bell, J., Blanton, B., Nutter, D., Robinson, M. and Smith, R. (2019), Stronger climate resilience with insurance (meeting summary).
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
August 2019, Vol. 100, No. 8, 1549-1552

Russell, B.T., Risser, M.D., Smith, R.L. and Kunkel, K.E. (2020),
Investigating the association between late spring Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures
and U.S. Gulf Coast precipitation extremes with focus on Hurricane Harvey.
Environmetrics Volume 31, Issue 2, 1-14. DOI: 10.1002/env.2595.

**BOOKS IN PREPARATION **

I. Weissman and R.L. Smith,
* Extreme Values: Theory and Applications. *
Under contract, Chapman and Hall/CRC Press.

R.L. Smith and K.D.S. Young, * Linear Regression *.

**UNPUBLISHED BOOK**

R.L. Smith, *Environmental Statistics*. Presented as a CBMS
lecture series at the University of Washington, June 2001.
/postscript/rs/envnotes.pdf

**UNPUBLISHED MANUSCRIPTS**

R.L. Smith (2010), Understanding Semsitivites in Paleoclimatic Reconstructions.
/postscript/rs/Sensitivities-Submitted.pdf

X. He, Z. Zhu and R.L. Smith (2008),
Asymptotic Comparison of Predictive Densities for Dependent Observations.
Technical Report UNC/STOR/08/01.

E. Evangelos, Z. Zhu and R.L. Smith (2008),
Asymptotic Inference for Spatial GLMM using High-order Laplace Approximation.

J.L. Crooks, E.A. Whitsel, D.J. Catellier, D. Liao, P.M. Quibrera and
R.L. Smith (2008), Hierarchical models for the effect of spatial interpolation
error on the inferred relationship between ambient particulate matter exposure
and cardiovascular health.
/postscript/rs/EEAWHI.v2.3.pdf

P. Caragea and R.L. Smith (2007),
Approximate Likelihood for Spatial Processes.
/postscript/rs/approxlh.pdf

Richard L. Smith and Zhengyuan Zhu (2004),
Asymptotic theory for kriging with estimated parameters and its application to network design.
/postscript/rs/supp5.pdf

A. Grady and R.L. Smith (2003),
A higher order expansion for the joint density of the sum and the
maximum under the Gumbel domain of attraction.
/postscript/rs/gradysmith.pdf

M. Fuentes and R.L. Smith (2001),
A new class of nonstationary spatial models.
/postscript/rs/nonstat.pdf

P. Guttorp, L. Sheppard and R.L. Smith (2001),
Commentary on EPA Particulate Matter Criteria Document.
Technical report at University of Washington.
/postscript/rs/comm2.pdf

R.L. Smith (1999), Trends in Rainfall Extremes.
/postscript/rs/rx.pdf

Richard L. Smith and Luke Tierney (1996),
Exact transition probabilities for the independence Metropolis sampler.
/postscript/rs/exact.pdf

Richard L. Smith (1996),
Exact transition probabilities for the independence Metropolis sampler.
Estimating nonstationary spatial correlations.
/postscript/rs/nonstationary.pdf

Richard L. Smith and Ishay Weissman (1996),
Characterization and estimation of the multivariate extremal index.
/postscript/rs/extremal.pdf

Richard L. Smith (1996),
Predictive Inference, Rare Events and Hierarchical Models.
/postscript/rs/pred0.pdf

D. Shi, R.L. Smith and S. Coles (1992),
Joint versus Marginal Estimation for Bivariate Extremes.
/postscript/rs/maest.pdf

R.L. Smith (1990),
Max-Stable Processes and Spatial Extremes.
/postscript/rs/spatex.pdf

R.L. Smith (1990),
Regional Estimation from Spatially Dependent Data.
/postscript/rs/regest.pdf